Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 10.380745 11.968164 13.671758 15.630714 17.815617 20.172069 22.900103
2025-08-24 7.935126 10.009831 12.398428 15.331548 18.814774 22.796967 27.670384
2025-08-31 6.342020 8.589650 11.322811 14.850711 19.239709 24.473991 31.137499
2025-09-07 5.439416 7.822479 10.855459 14.933205 20.199025 26.691736 35.214472
2025-09-14 4.719726 7.169412 10.418175 14.946988 20.989089 28.655967 38.985993
2025-09-21 4.195910 6.700868 10.149031 15.113440 21.929323 30.796527 43.014785
2025-09-28 3.709030 6.217251 9.795419 15.106532 22.596186 32.566947 46.590519
2025-10-05 3.412428 5.973348 9.744213 15.492802 23.789330 35.054438 51.177118
2025-10-12 3.122796 5.703101 9.621053 15.748800 24.789129 37.294286 55.485533
2025-10-19 2.828524 5.389639 9.398894 15.829040 25.520360 39.168076 59.333140
2025-10-26 2.462706 4.914726 8.881776 15.417273 25.492318 39.949000 61.658464
2025-11-02 2.169043 4.527526 8.466165 15.122565 25.604440 40.910489 64.243481
2025-11-09 1.899574 4.154648 8.045672 14.794743 25.652803 41.788223 66.755569
2025-11-16 1.669993 3.826692 7.670051 14.507785 25.738849 42.711210 69.349971
2025-11-23 1.442323 3.472137 7.213937 14.048406 25.515432 43.143235 71.211906
2025-11-30 1.319149 3.309646 7.083568 14.127207 26.151511 44.893095 75.082272
2025-12-07 1.200061 3.140106 6.924079 14.140373 26.672325 46.472353 78.729395
2025-12-14 1.110938 3.023164 6.851949 14.299387 27.435863 48.447476 83.028521
2025-12-21 1.011343 2.869768 6.695513 14.292788 27.912627 49.975887 86.670258
2025-12-28 0.961041 2.822876 6.743716 14.661849 29.043664 52.579777 92.052560
2026-01-04 0.901903 2.747419 6.727395 14.906482 29.963946 54.864762 96.985128
2026-01-11 0.831888 2.635979 6.627183 14.983166 30.587204 56.677308 101.206805
2026-01-18 0.728077 2.423760 6.295841 14.589678 30.349399 57.053665 103.127380